All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez

As in the moments following the 2016 US election, win probabilities took center stage in public discourse after New England’s comeback victory in the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Unfortunately, n…

nflWAR: a reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football

Simple guide for using nflscrapR · GitHub

What did George E. P. Box mean by “all models are wrong, but some are useful” (probability, measure theory, physics, math)? - Quora

Probability: The Role of Probability in the World of Statistics - FasterCapital

All Models Are Wrong

What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press

Being an MLB Super-Team Doesn't Guarantee Anything Come October, News, Scores, Highlights, Stats, and Rumors

AP Statistics: Chapter 5, Video #2 - Probability Models

Thread by @EvolvingWild on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App

Perceptions of probability. : r/coolguides

PDF) All models are wrong, some are useful.pdf

Resources - David L. Carey

Herding Cats: All Models Are Wrong

nflWAR: a reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football

NHL Coaches Are Pulling Goalies Earlier Than Ever