Tips for Better Thinking: Surviving Is Only Half the Story
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 25 março 2025

Our brain is not a computer; it is a squishy belief engine that can lead us astray in a myriad of ways. Learning to recognize how our brain misleads us can help us think more clearly and make better sense of the world around us. Take airplanes, for example. Imagine you’re in charge of sending airplanes out to fight a war. The planes that do come back to base have been hit in the spots indicated by the red dots. Where should you add armour to reinforce them? Our first instinct is to say “on the red dots!” This is where the planes were hit: let’s make these areas stronger! But when we slow our thinking down, we realize that this is mistaken. If a plane was hit in these spots and made it home, the damage was not fatal. It is the planes that did not return to base—the ones that did not survive—that we should be concerned about. Indeed, when this scenario arose in World War II, statistician Abraham Wald recommended that planes be reinforced where there were no red dots, assuming that these were the spots that would deal a lethal blow to an airplane. This is known as the survivorship bias. It’s when we focus on paintings that have been chosen by art historians to be preserved and assume that every painting from that era was just as good. It’s when we concentrate on an old building that has survived in our city and observe that “they don’t make them like they used to,” not taking into account all of the old buildings that have been torn down in the intervening years for not being sturdy enough. It’s when we think that because highly-paid Hollywood actors exist, all we need is determination and hard work to “make it,” without considering the hundreds of thousands of would-be actors who don’t “survive” the process. It’s when we point out a few smokers who lived to be one hundred and turn a blind eye to all the ones who died at 50. The next time you find yourself looking at a multimillionaire CEO who dropped out of high school and wanting to hear their advice, ask yourself: where are all the high-school dropouts who aren’t multimillionaires? @CrackedScience Leave a comment!

Adaptation: Stories about survival — The Story Collider

The Genius of Toni Morrison's Only Short Story

Scientists find a few surprises in their study of love — Harvard

The 50 Best TV Shows Of The 21st Century So Far, Ranked – The

Without Ethel Smyth and classical music's forgotten women, we only
Clear Thinking: Turning Ordinary Moments into Extraordinary Results - Kindle edition by Parrish, Shane. Download it once and read it on your Kindle

Clear Thinking: Turning Ordinary Moments into Extraordinary Results See more

What to Do When You're Lonely - Tips for Coping With Loneliness

Some Colleges Are Teaming Up and Sharing Courses to Survive - The

9 Tips for Keeping Your Head in a Survival Situation

Reading Before Bed: How It Can Improve Your Sleep
Recomendado para você
-
5 Common Mental Errors That Sway Your Decision Making25 março 2025
-
Survivorship Bias - Why not everybody can win25 março 2025
-
an amazing use of the survivorship bias : r/clevercomebacks25 março 2025
-
Examples of Survivor Bias.. Mitigating the Effects in Your25 março 2025
-
Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations25 março 2025
-
Survivorship bias : r/traaaaaaannnnnnnnnns25 março 2025
-
On Survivorship Bias In Business - FourWeekMBA25 março 2025
-
Success and the Survivorship bias - Bryan Krahn25 março 2025
-
Survivorship bias25 março 2025
-
The Survivorship Bias - Deepstash25 março 2025
você pode gostar
-
Grand Theft Auto: Liberty City Stories (Europe) PS2 ISO - CDRomance25 março 2025
-
PES 2017 Review - IGN25 março 2025
-
Five nights at freddy 2 the movie Fan Casting on myCast25 março 2025
-
Clicks Bredasdorp Xplorio Bredasdorp25 março 2025
-
PAW Patrol Zuma Sticker for Sale by VlajkoArtist25 março 2025
-
Tellstones: King's Gambit Review: Riot is Back!25 março 2025
-
How to Handle Idle Resources in Cloud Cost Management25 março 2025
-
myPSt Mobile Dicas do troéu Wanted do jogo Grand Theft Auto IV25 março 2025
-
Beyoncé and Kendrick Lamar Stun BET Awards With 'Freedom,' a Fiery25 março 2025
-
shorts about top geography #cpm of my #channel. #shorts.25 março 2025